NFL Week 16 Monday Christmas Games

Insight from 7 Pro Gamblers:

NFL Week 16 MNF Quick Pick Digest

Here is a quick look at 7 gamblers and some of their picks for the Monday Night football games 3 game Slate.

Jedi Modi

1. Isaiah Pacho (Chiefs) - Under 66.5 rushing yards:

   • Fading Pacho in his first game back from injury.

   • The Raiders have a decent defense, ranked 11th in DVOA.

   • Pacho has only exceeded this rushing yard total in four of 12 games this season.

   • Line movement has been in favor of the under.

   • Pacho's first game back from shoulder injury adds uncertainty.

2. Gus Edwards (Ravens) - Over 38.5 rushing yards:

   • Despite the 49ers' strong defense, Edwards is expected to perform well.

   • The 49ers rank 18th in Rush defense DVOA, showing a vulnerability against the run.

   • Edwards has cleared this rushing yard total in 10 out of 14 games this season.

   • With teammate Katon Mitchell out for the year, Edwards is likely to get a significant workload.

3. Saquon Barkley (Giants) - Over 60 rushing yards:

   • Betting on Barkley to exceed 60 rushing yards against the Eagles.

   • The Eagles have allowed an average of 139.5 rushing yards per game over the last four weeks.

   • Barkley had cleared 60+ rushing yards in eight of nine games before a recent subpar performance.

   • Despite the Giants' offensive struggles, Barkley is expected to receive a substantial number of carries.

Lineups

1. Gus Edwards Over 39.5 Rushing Yards: Cody recommends taking the over on Gus Edwards rushing for more than 39.5 yards. This pick is based on the Ravens' strong rushing attack and the 49ers' struggles against the run.

2. Gus Edwards Anytime Touchdown: Cody also suggests betting on Gus Edwards scoring a touchdown in the game, with odds as high as +170. He believes the Ravens will exploit the 49ers' weaknesses in run defense.

3. Gus Edwards Over 2.5 Receiving Yards: Jacob likes the over on Gus Edwards' receiving yards, which is set at 2.5 yards. He thinks Edwards can easily catch one pass to surpass this low yardage total.

4. Jake Moody Over 1.5 Field Goals Made: Jacob recommends betting on Jake Moody making over 1.5 field goals in the game. He believes that the Ravens' strong red zone defense will force the 49ers to settle for field goals more often.

5. Fred Warner Over 8.5 Total Tackles and Assists: Will Schwartz suggests taking the over on Fred Warner's total tackles and assists, which is set at 8.5. He expects Warner to have a busy game against the Ravens' running game and short passing attack.

1. Spread Bet: Noah leans towards the Giants covering the 13.5-point spread, as the Eagles have been struggling recently, but he doesn't feel strongly about it.

2. Total Bet: Noah's favorite bet in this game is the under on the total points (43) due to the Eagles' recent offensive struggles and the Giants' improved defense.

3. Team Total Bet: Cody recommends betting on the Eagles' team total over 27.5 points, as he expects the Eagles' offense to perform well against the weak Giants defense.

1. Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 interceptions at +114 odds.

2. Josh Jacobs over rushing yards (pending confirmation of the number).

3. Rashod Bateman to score a touchdown at +140 odds.

4. Rashod Bateman under 64.5 receiving yards.

5. Travis Kelce to score a touchdown at various odds (preferably +130).

6. Harrison Butker over 1.5 field goals made at -130 odds.

7. Jacoby Meyers to score a touchdown at +425 odds (potential half-unit play).

8. Rashod Bateman over 65.5 receiving yards.

Guy Boston Sport

1. Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders:

   • Spread: The speaker leans towards the Kansas City Chiefs, especially if you can lower the spread to -9.5.

   • Total Points: The speaker predicts an under for this game, with a projected score of around 24-14.

2. Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants:

   • Spread: The speaker suggests betting on the Philadelphia Eagles, despite a large spread of -13.5.

   • Total Points: No specific prediction for the total points, but a slight inclination towards the under.

3. San Francisco 49ers vs. Baltimore Ravens:

   • Spread: The speaker leans towards the San Francisco 49ers at -6.

   • Total Points: The speaker initially leans towards the over (47 points) due to both teams having strong offenses, but acknowledges that the under could also be a valid choice.

Noahs Daily Fantasy

1. Rashod Bateman: Over 8 targets or over 6.5 receptions. He favors the "Over 8 targets" more but likes both of these options. Bateman has been seeing a significant increase in volume recently, making these lines appealing.

2. Tommy DeVito: Over 13 fantasy score. DeVito is expected to be in a game script where the Giants will likely have to pass a lot against the Eagles' weak pass defense. His projected pass and rush yards, along with being favored to throw at least one touchdown, make the "Over 13 fantasy score" a good option.

3. Brock Purdy: Over 17 fantasy score. While facing a tough Ravens defense, Purdy has been highly efficient and has a range of weapons in the 49ers' offense. Considering his projected stats and being favored to throw multiple touchdowns, the "Over 17 fantasy score" looks enticing.

Betting With Matt

1. Isaiah Pacho: The speaker predicts that Isaiah Pacho will score a touchdown in the game between Kansas City and the Raiders, based on his past performances and the tendency for many players to score against the Raiders' defense.

2. Brock Pry: The speaker believes that Brock Pry, a player for the Ravens, will score over 2.5 touchdowns in the game against the Niners, considering his recent strong performances and favorable matchup.

3. AJ Brown: The speaker expects AJ Brown to have a successful game, particularly in terms of receptions. They mention that he gets a significant target share and believes he will have at least 7 receptions in the game.

Additionally, the speaker mentions bonus picks from a DFS betting fantasy app:

4. Saquon Barkley (not on prize picks): The speaker wanted to include Saquon Barkley for receptions, with odds at -150.

5. Isaiah Likeley (not on prize picks): The speaker includes Isaiah Likeley's receptions with odds at -137, anticipating that he will be a target in the passing game for the Niners.

6. Jaylen Hurts: The speaker believes that Jaylen Hurts is a sure bet to score in his game.

925 Sports

1. Raiders vs. Chiefs:

   • Over 40.5 total points.

   • Isaiah Pacho to get more rushing attempts.

   • MVS to have over 1.5 receptions.

   • Justin Watson to have over 18.5 receiving yards.

   • Noah Gray to have over receiving yards (exact number not specified).

   • Richie James and other receiving options mentioned as potential plays due to injuries.

2. Giants vs. Eagles:

   • Saquon Barkley to have over his fantasy score.

   • Potential bets on Giants' receivers, including Kenny Golladay, C.J. Board, and others, though no specific recommendations given.

3. Ravens vs. 49ers:

   • Gus Edwards' fantasy score being pushed, making it difficult to bet.

   • Isaiah Likely over 38.5 receiving yards.

   • Lamar Jackson's fantasy score under 22.5.

   • Mention of some props on Underdog with potential value.

Calling Our Shot

1. Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) over 29.5 pass attempts at -120 (1.5 units).

   • Austin expects Lamar Jackson to attempt at least 30 passes in the game against the San Francisco 49ers due to the 49ers' strong run defense and the need to pass the ball.

2. Darren Waller (Las Vegas Raiders) over 3.5 receptions at -114.

   • Austin likes Waller's chances of getting at least four receptions in the game against the Denver Broncos, citing Waller's return to action and favorable matchup.

3. Two-Leg Same Game Parlay:

   • Rashod Bateman (Kansas City Chiefs) over 50+ receiving yards.

   • Jakobi Meyers (Las Vegas Raiders) over 25+ receiving yards.

   • This parlay combines two player props in the same game, expecting Bateman to exceed 50 receiving yards and Meyers to exceed 25 receiving yards in the Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup.

Austin's Parlay:

1. Rashi Rice (Kansas City Chiefs) - Over 50 receiving yards.

2. Jacobe Myers (New England Patriots) - Over 25 receiving yards.

3. Christian McCaffrey - Anytime touchdown scorer.

4. Zay Flowers - Over 25 receiving yards.

5. Lamar Jackson (Baltimore Ravens) - Over 200 passing yards.

6. Darren Waller (New York Giants) - Over 25 receiving yards.

Logan's Parlay:

1. DeAndre Swift (Philadelphia Eagles) - Over 40 rushing yards.

2. Jalen Hurts (Philadelphia Eagles) - Over 25 rushing yards and anytime touchdown scorer.

3. Devante Adams - Over 5 receptions.

4. Isaiah Pacheo (Kansas City Chiefs) - Over 50 rushing yards.

5. Under 53.5 total points in the Baltimore Ravens vs. San Francisco 49ers game.

The most common picks and recommendations

1. Player Props for Rushing Yards:

   • Isaiah Pacheo (Chiefs) - Under 66.5 rushing yards.

   • Gus Edwards (Ravens) - Over 38.5 rushing yards.

   • Saquon Barkley (Giants) - Over 60 rushing yards.

2. Player Props for Receiving Yards:

   • Gus Edwards (Ravens) - Over 2.5 receiving yards.

   • Rashod Bateman (Chiefs) - Over 50 receiving yards.

   • Jacobi Meyers (Raiders) - Over 25 receiving yards.

3. Touchdown Props:

   • Gus Edwards (Ravens) - Anytime Touchdown.

   • Isaiah Pacho (Chiefs) - To score a touchdown.

   • Rashod Bateman - To score a touchdown.

   • Jaylen Hurts (Eagles) - To score a touchdown.

   • Christian McCaffrey - Anytime touchdown scorer.

4. Total Points and Spreads:

   • Spread bets on various games, with leanings towards favorites or underdogs.

   • Total points bets, with leans towards over or under in some games.

5. Fantasy Score Picks:

   • Over 13 fantasy points for Tommy DeVito (Giants).

   • Over 17 fantasy points for Brock Purdy (49ers).

   • Saquon Barkley to have over his fantasy score.

6. Quarterback Pass Attempts:

   • Lamar Jackson (Ravens) - Over 29.5 pass attempts.

7. Same Game Parlays:

   • Various combinations of player props within the same game.

8. Other Props:

   • Over/under on field goals made by kickers.

   • Over/under on total tackles and assists for defensive players like Fred Warner.

   • Betting on specific players' performance based on past performance and matchups.

Please note that these are picks and recommendations made by various sources, and the success of these bets depends on various factors, including player performance, team strategies, and game outcomes. Always consider doing your own research and understanding the odds before making any bets. Sports betting can be risky, so be responsible and gamble within your means.